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	<title>House Aristos</title>
	<link>http://www.praetor.org</link>
	<description></description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 22 Oct 2009 18:24:37 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Traveling Light</title>
		<description><![CDATA[Over the past few years I&#8217;ve managed to pare down my luggage requirements to a single carry-on bag and a briefcase.  (Rick Steves offers some useful advice in this area.)  My present trip has seen a similar reduction in the amount of stuff I carry with me on a daily basis.  To select a particularly [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.praetor.org/archives/166</link>
			</item>
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		<title>Please locate the nearest exit</title>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m having far too much fun in Beijing to put together a decent post, but the temptation to send out another &#8220;find an exit&#8221; email grows ever stronger.  Looking at my archives, the last time I sent such an email was September 20, 2008.  This rally still has space in which to run, but it [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.praetor.org/archives/165</link>
			</item>
	<item>
		<title>Dragon Kings and Black Swans</title>
		<description><![CDATA[I have been somewhat a fan of Nassim Nicholas Taleb&#8217;s black swan idea, although not without reservations.  A black swan is by definition unpredictable, and yet the current financial meltdown was hardly a surprise to anyone who cared to look.  I am therefore pleased to mention a new entry into our statistical bestiary, that of [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.praetor.org/archives/164</link>
			</item>
	<item>
		<title>Freedom tastes like apple pie&#8230;</title>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8230;apple pie made from Polish vodka, in this case.  We need to keep our heads down for a few more days, but at least we&#8217;re outside the perimeter.
]]></description>
		<link>http://www.praetor.org/archives/163</link>
			</item>
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		<title>Measures</title>
		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday one of the teachers called to ask us to keep contact to a minimum.  The day passed most quietly.  That night I could hear music streaming in from a party across the street.  Today is day 4, and my temperature this morning was 36.2.
The hallways feel empty, but those small panels between the rooms [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.praetor.org/archives/159</link>
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	<item>
		<title>Days 2 and 3</title>
		<description><![CDATA[Morning and afternoon temperatures: 36.8, 37
A few people have managed to win their release; our English friend was able to quickly argue his way out.  Another two have managed to arrange leaving the following day.
We played cards, and watched Slumdog Millionaire.  Despite the slow Internet connection, I&#8217;ve managed to pull down The International with Clive [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.praetor.org/archives/156</link>
			</item>
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		<title>The Next Morning</title>
		<description><![CDATA[This morning I received a call from Ted at the embassy inquiring as to my well-being.  Ted said that they expect to receive a list of all Americans but had not received it.   I gave him a description of the situation and some estimates of the number of people.   He also said that [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.praetor.org/archives/151</link>
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		<title>In Quarantine</title>
		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday afternoon we had gathered to watch some Beijing Opera, only to be told that the even was cancelled and that we must return to the dorms.  Word slowly trickled down that there had been a few cases of H1N1 and that we were to be placed in quarantine.  To save typing, below is the [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.praetor.org/archives/145</link>
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		<title>When it rains&#8230;</title>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m due to fly to Beijing this Friday, and already I have plenty of work ahead of me.  Fortunately some of the more urgent tasks have been resolved, albeit only to make room for their successors.  The process of preparing not-too-cryptic clues for my colleagues continues apace.
Taking a page from my last trip, I expect [...]]]></description>
		<link>http://www.praetor.org/archives/143</link>
			</item>
	<item>
		<title>More Charts: Inevitability</title>
		<description><![CDATA[Bob Shiller&#8217;s original chart of historic home values back to 1890 was originally published in 2006.  The four charts below provide an interesting perspective.
The original:

With projections overlaid:

Updated, December 2008:

Updated, June 2009:

]]></description>
		<link>http://www.praetor.org/archives/137</link>
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